I have been talking at work a lot about the Birthday Paradox. Scoble was talking with Predictify on FastCompany.tv about using crowds to make predictions srf broadcast. The method of prediction is not as straight forward as throwing darts at a dart board and using mob mentality to predict things based on user polls, instead think of it like throwing a bunch of darts 10 times and the ones that hit the bull’s eye the most times and starting to favor where they land to make predictions google sketchup 8 gratis downloaden.
If you were looking at the American Idol results for example there will be a lot of people who are rooting for Brook because they are guys who root for girls, teen girls root for the young David, so polling is predicting for popularity contests. Sporting events aren’t popularity contests, so all of those Detroit Red Wings Fans who vote that they will win the Stanley Cup may not be wrong, but they are likely also not making informed votes. Instead you are mining for the guy that votes for Red Wings to win all but 2 games. Filtering out the darts that fly true is then the challenge for a company like predicifty downloading whatsapp images is not possible.
They are seemingly doing quite well, certainly if you followed their predictions you could make money betting on sports, but do so in moderation because they are not yet at 100% adobe flash player op ipad.